Tuesday’s game that pits the North Carolina Tar Heels (12-7, 5-2 ACC) versus the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (14-4, 6-1 ACC) at Lawrence Joel Veterans Memorial Coliseum has a projected final score of 76-71 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of North Carolina, who is a small favorite in this matchup according to our model. Tipoff is at 9:00 PM ET on January 21.

According to our computer prediction, North Carolina projects to cover the 1.5-point spread in its matchup against Wake Forest. The over/under is currently listed at 147.5, and the two teams are projected to fall short of that total.

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North Carolina vs. Wake Forest Game Info & Odds

• Date: Tuesday, January 21, 2025
• Time: 9:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Winston-Salem, North Carolina
• Venue: Lawrence Joel Veterans Memorial Coliseum
• Line: North Carolina -1.5
• Point total: 147.5
• Moneyline (to win): North Carolina -115, Wake Forest -104

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North Carolina vs. Wake Forest Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  North Carolina 76, Wake Forest 71

Spread & Total Prediction for North Carolina vs. Wake Forest

• Pick ATS: North Carolina (-1.5)
• Pick OU: Under (147.5)

North Carolina has compiled a 7-12-0 record against the spread this season, while Wake Forest is 8-10-0. The Tar Heels are 9-10-0 and the Demon Deacons are 7-11-0 in terms of hitting the over. The two teams combine to score 153.2 points per game, 5.7 more points than this matchup’s total. North Carolina is 4-6 against the spread and 7-3 overall over its last 10 games, while Wake Forest has gone 7-3 against the spread and 8-2 overall.

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North Carolina Performance Insights

• The Tar Heels are outscoring opponents by 6.5 points per game with a +123 scoring differential overall. They put up 82.3 points per game (32nd in college basketball) and allow 75.8 per outing (292nd in college basketball).
• North Carolina is 78th in the country at 34.7 rebounds per game. That’s 1.2 more than the 33.5 its opponents average.
• North Carolina knocks down 7.3 three-pointers per game (229th in college basketball) at a 32.6% rate (251st in college basketball), compared to the 8.1 its opponents make while shooting 31.9% from deep.
• The Tar Heels’ 100.2 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 86th in college basketball, and the 92.3 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 197th in college basketball.
• North Carolina has committed 10.7 turnovers per game (109th in college basketball play) while forcing 10.8 (271st in college basketball).

Wake Forest Performance Insights

• The Demon Deacons put up 70.9 points per game (271st in college basketball) while allowing 65.7 per contest (42nd in college basketball). They have a +94 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 5.2 points per game.
• The 30.3 rebounds per game Wake Forest accumulates rank 302nd in the country, 1.1 fewer than the 31.4 its opponents collect.
• Wake Forest knocks down 6.2 three-pointers per game (324th in college basketball) at a 28.7% rate (351st in college basketball), compared to the 7.9 per contest its opponents make, shooting 31.1% from beyond the arc.
• Wake Forest wins the turnover battle by 2.8 per game, committing 11 (133rd in college basketball) while its opponents average 13.8.

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