Wake Forest vs. North Carolina Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – January 21

Published 5:18 pm Monday, January 20, 2025

Tuesday’s contest between the North Carolina Tar Heels (12-7, 5-2 ACC) and Wake Forest Demon Deacons (14-4, 6-1 ACC) squaring off at Lawrence Joel Veterans Memorial Coliseum has a projected final score of 76-71 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of Tar Heels, who is listed as a slight favorite by our model. The game will tip off at 9:00 PM ET on January 21.

Based on our computer prediction, North Carolina is a good bet to cover the point spread, which currently sits at 1.5. The two teams are projected to exceed the 146.5 over/under.

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Wake Forest vs. North Carolina Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Tuesday, January 21, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Winston-Salem, North Carolina
  • Venue: Lawrence Joel Veterans Memorial Coliseum
  • Line: Wake Forest -1.5
  • Point total: 146.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Wake Forest -122, North Carolina +102

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Wake Forest vs. North Carolina Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    North Carolina 76, Wake Forest 71

Spread & Total Prediction for Wake Forest vs. North Carolina

  • Pick ATS: North Carolina (+1.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (146.5)

Wake Forest is 8-10-0 against the spread, while North Carolina’s ATS record this season is 7-12-0. A total of seven out of the Demon Deacons’ games this season have gone over the point total, and nine of the Tar Heels’ games have gone over. The teams combine to score 153.2 points per game, 6.7 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the past 10 games, Wake Forest is 7-3 against the spread and 8-2 overall while North Carolina has gone 4-6 against the spread and 7-3 overall.

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Wake Forest Performance Insights

  • The Demon Deacons outscore opponents by 5.2 points per game (scoring 70.9 points per game to rank 270th in college basketball while allowing 65.7 per contest to rank 41st in college basketball) and have a +94 scoring differential overall.
  • Wake Forest loses the rebound battle by 1.1 boards on average. It collects 30.3 rebounds per game, which ranks 301st in college basketball, while its opponents grab 31.4 per contest.
  • Wake Forest connects on 6.2 three-pointers per game (324th in college basketball) at a 28.7% rate (351st in college basketball), compared to the 7.9 per outing its opponents make while shooting 31.1% from beyond the arc.
  • The Demon Deacons rank 256th in college basketball with 92.8 points scored per 100 possessions, and 48th in college basketball defensively with 86.0 points conceded per 100 possessions.
  • Wake Forest wins the turnover battle by 2.8 per game, committing 11.0 (134th in college basketball) while its opponents average 13.8.

North Carolina Performance Insights

  • The Tar Heels have a +123 scoring differential, topping opponents by 6.5 points per game. They’re putting up 82.3 points per game, 32nd in college basketball, and are allowing 75.8 per outing to rank 293rd in college basketball.
  • The 34.7 rebounds per game North Carolina accumulates rank 79th in college basketball, 1.2 more than the 33.5 its opponents pull down.
  • North Carolina hits 7.3 three-pointers per game (227th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 8.1 on average.
  • North Carolina and its opponents have been relatively even in the turnover battle. The Tar Heels commit 10.7 per game (111th in college basketball) and force 10.8 (271st in college basketball).

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